This actuarial analysis looks at the potential effects of ending Medicaid expansion on the individual market. It also addresses qualitative considerations of how ending Medicaid expansion might affect provider revenue, state economic conditions, and access for low-income Montanans. Key findings include:
- Should Medicaid expansion be allowed to sunset in 2025, an estimated 54,000 to 74,000 people would lose coverage, significantly increasing the number of uninsured.
- Affordable Care Act individual market premiums would increase by 6% to 8% due to the influx of former Medicaid expansion enrollees into the individual market.
The Montana Healthcare Foundation commissioned the report, which was produced by Wakely Consulting Group. Read the accompanying press release.
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